MARKETS
EVENT PROBABILITIES
WITH MARKET CONTEXT
Each market shows probability, recent shifts, and liquidity depth. Explanations generated through ElizaOS only after signal-quality validation.
FOCUS CATEGORY:CRYPTO
Auto-refresh every 1 minute(1:00)
MARKETS
Event-focused markets with market-implied probabilities
UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
49% – BALANCEDmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE████░ Deep · $293,167UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
8.5% – VERY UNLIKELYhigh confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
high CONFIDENCE████░ Deep · $646,551UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
18% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE██░░░ Moderate · $42,261UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
52% – BALANCEDmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE██░░░ Moderate · $40,333UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
8.9% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $4,604UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█████ Deep · $2,037,083UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
16% – VERY UNLIKELYhigh confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
high CONFIDENCE█████ Deep · $1,633,613UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
11% – VERY UNLIKELYhigh confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
high CONFIDENCE█████ Deep · $1,609,517UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
2.6% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█████ Deep · $928,049UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
9.5% – VERY UNLIKELYhigh confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
high CONFIDENCE█████ Deep · $845,177UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
3.5% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█████ Deep · $754,173UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
7.0% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE████░ Deep · $712,115UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE████░ Deep · $710,650UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
3.4% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE████░ Deep · $665,536UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1.8% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE████░ Deep · $661,178UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
7.0% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE████░ Deep · $648,795UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
8.2% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE████░ Deep · $550,574UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
49% – BALANCEDmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE████░ Deep · $546,648UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
3.5% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE████░ Deep · $426,927UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
19% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE████░ Deep · $359,100UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
61% – MORE LIKELY THAN NOTmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE███░░ Moderate · $212,192UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
18% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE███░░ Moderate · $169,444UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1.4% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE███░░ Moderate · $102,886UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
7.5% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE███░░ Moderate · $88,059UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
28% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE███░░ Moderate · $82,900UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
34% – UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE███░░ Moderate · $73,772UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
15% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE███░░ Moderate · $70,104UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
26% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE███░░ Moderate · $69,443UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
4.8% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE███░░ Moderate · $58,706UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
5.4% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE███░░ Moderate · $57,556UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1.7% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE███░░ Moderate · $51,482UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
51% – BALANCEDmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE██░░░ Moderate · $50,725UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
6.5% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE██░░░ Moderate · $47,602UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
18% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE██░░░ Moderate · $46,052UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
13% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE██░░░ Moderate · $43,584UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
7.3% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE██░░░ Moderate · $40,744UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
54% – BALANCEDmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE██░░░ Moderate · $28,675UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
54% – BALANCEDmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE██░░░ Thin · $19,582UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1.1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE██░░░ Thin · $19,269UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE██░░░ Thin · $9,332UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $8,646UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $8,072UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $7,951UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1.7% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $7,856UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $7,674UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $7,464UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $7,235UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $6,483UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $6,450UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $5,872UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $5,861UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
87% – LIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $4,886UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
2.5% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $4,864UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $4,455UPDATED JAN 9, 2026
1% – VERY UNLIKELYmoderate confidence
— 0.0 pts(latest shift)
medium CONFIDENCE█░░░░ Thin · $4,242APPROACH
Probabilities reflect prediction market data. We do not forecast outcomes or recommend actions. Significant moves are flagged for review, not momentum.
SHIFTS
Largest belief changes (low confidence)
No shifts detected yet—showing latest movers instead.