METHOD
HOW AKASHI HANDLES
PROBABILITIES, UNCERTAINTY, AND EVIDENCE
We interpret signals, not predict outcomes. All data reflects market-implied probabilities and is presented with explicit uncertainty language through ElizaOS.
WHAT THIS IS
- An interpreter of event-focused prediction markets.
- A probabilistic view that shifts as markets trade.
- A record of changes, context, and remaining uncertainty.
WHAT THIS IS NOT
- Not financial advice, recommendations, or price targets.
- Not certainty. Probabilities reflect current market sentiment and change.
- Not a promise of outcomes or guarantee of accuracy.
PREDICTION MARKETS
Markets aggregate participant beliefs into probabilities. Higher prices indicate stronger belief, not certainty.
ELIZAOS GOVERNANCE
Explanations generated through ElizaOS under strict constraints that prohibit advice or predictions and require explicit uncertainty statements.
UNCERTAINTY
We highlight thin liquidity, conflicting signals, and missing data. Confidence aligns with market depth, not headlines.
LANGUAGE AND LEGAL STANCE
- Language uses "likely," "unlikely," and "moderately confident." We never say "will."
- Every page includes: This is informational analysis, not financial advice or investment recommendations.
- Users should verify details with primary sources and understand probabilities can shift quickly.